What might happen if droughts were predicted months ahead of time? Food aid and other humanitarian efforts could be put together sooner and executed better, say UC Santa Barbara geographers Chris Funk, Greg Husak and Joel Michaelsen. After more than a decade of gathering and analyzing climate and vegetation data from East Africa, the researchers — part of the U.S. Agency for International Development's Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS NET) — say there is enough evidence to associate climate conditions in the region with projected rainfall deficits that could lead to food shortages.
"There are going to be a lot of surprises, and how agile we are at responding to those surprises is going to make a big difference," said Michaelsen.
University of California