The winning design by Richard Vijgen in the World Water Day competition
by HeadsUP and Visualizing.org will be on display in New York City's
Times Square for one month. Titled “Seasonal and Longterm Changes in
Groundwater Levels,” Vijgen's design uses NASA's gravitational data.
Taking billboard space among the corporate advertisements, bright
neon signs, and iconic video screens of New York City’s Times Square,
one of the busiest pedestrian intersections in the world, is a 30-second digital animation of the world’s groundwater.
The electronic display — which won an international design
competition to create a visualization related to world water issues and
will run on two screens in Times Square through April 22 — conveys
powerful climate, population, and economic trends affecting groundwater,
which makes up more than one-fifth of the global fresh water. Places as
disparate as North Africa, California’s Central Valley, and India’s
northern states, among others, are all facing similar threats to their
livelihoods, as climate patterns and resource-intensive ways of life are
crashing into limits on groundwater supply.
Much of the data behind this animation is part of efforts by
scientists at the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration
(NASA) and the University of California, Irvine (UCI), to use the small
gravitational variations in the Earth, caused primarily by the
redistribution of water on and beneath the land’s surface, to track
changes in groundwater levels around the world.
Since 2002, NASA and the German Aerospace Center’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment mission,
known as GRACE, has relied on two twin satellites that complete a full
scan of the Earth each month, sending back some of the best data on the
variations in the planet’s gravity fields.
The program, researchers say, identifies the spots around the world
where groundwater is disappearing or recovering, and the data could
provide a potentially powerful new global tool to scientists, water
managers, and policy makers as they try to anticipate the effects of
climate change and rising populations on the world’s freshwater
resources.
“It’s the only space-based or ground-based measurement that tells you
about the changes in the total water storage in the entire soil
column,” said Matthew Rodell, researcher at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center,
in an interview with Circle of Blue. The program sees all the changes
in “snow, surface water, soil moisture, and groundwater at all levels.”
“The great thing about a satellite mission like GRACE is that it
really complements [existing groundwater monitoring],” said Jay
Famiglietti, director of UCI’s Center for Hydrologic Modeling,
who for years has been leading research teams that apply GRACE data to
hydrology. “Basically, in one shot — and not to simplify it — for
example, you’ve got a large-scale view of what’s happening in a region
like the Central Valley that would be really, really difficult and time
consuming to construct from ground-based data. And it’s a view that’s
quite complementary to what we see with the wells on the ground.”
Monthly variations of water storage in India from the NASA GRACE
mission. In 2009, GRACE found big dips in northern India’s groundwater.
Anomalies of water storage in California from GRACE relative to the November 2002-November 2008 mean.
Seeing The Bigger Picture
Satellite technology also allows scientists to track groundwater levels
in areas of the world that don’t have monitoring wells or don’t share
their data publicly.
According to Famiglietti, GRACE’s 10 years of data also confirm that
the water cycle is becoming more variable globally, suggesting that
evaporation and precipitation rates are increasing as global
temperatures climb — but not uniformly in space and time. The result is
that rainfall will be delivered in more severe storms and floods, while
droughts will become more prolonged and intense. This means that wet
places like the tropics and the high Arctic will get wetter, and places
that are already dry will get even drier, or what Famiglietti calls
“more extreme extremes.”
“Most of the places that we see with the GRACE where groundwater is
being depleted are the arid and semi-arid regions in those
mid-latitudes,” he added. Many of these areas tend to be big population
hubs. “Most of those are agricultural regions — the North China Plain,
Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, the Middle East, some southern Europe and
North Africa. In the U.S., we see the Ogallala Aquifer and the Central
Valley. Even the southeastern U.S. — you think of it as being very
humid, but they are in the grips of a long-term drought, and so they are
using groundwater, too.”
GRACE findings show that, since the late 1990s, the arid Central
Valley has lost about 50 cubic kilometers (12 cubic miles) of
groundwater, or 1.5 times the volume of Lake Mead, the largest man-made
reservoir in the United States.
In 2009, the mission also produced some of the first public data
about the rate of groundwater depletion in India. GRACE observations
found that beneath northern India’s irrigated fields of wheat, rice, and
barley, and beneath the densely populated cities of Jaiphur and New
Delhi, groundwater levels are declining by an average of one meter every
three years (1 foot per year). Between 2002 and 2008, northern India
lost more than 109 cubic kilometers (26 cubic miles) of groundwater — or
triple the volume of Lake Mead — primarily to irrigate crops.
Goddard scientists are also experimenting with a project that generates weekly U.S. national groundwater maps
by combining long-term meteorological data and GRACE satellite
observations. Researchers say that the maps could be used to monitor the
health of critical groundwater resources, in addition distinguishing
between short-term and long-term droughts.
One of these maps showed that the severe drought that has been
gripping Texas since October 2010, and that, as of November 2011, the
drought had reduced groundwater throughout most of the state to the lowest levels in more than 60 years.
Since 2002, GRACE has relied on twin satellites that complete a full
scan of the Earth each month, sending back some of the best data on the
variations in the planet’s gravity fields. The program identifies the
spots around the world where groundwater is disappearing or recovering.
“In many of those places, we already know it’s happening, so what
GRACE is doing is helping us quantify, see the bigger picture, the
regional picture, and how the regional picture relates to other
regions,” Famiglietti told Circle of Blue. “I like to use the analogy
that GRACE is kind of like the scale in the sky. It doesn’t tell you how
much you weigh, but it tells you how much water weight a region has
gained or lost.”
Technological Limitations
GRACE data has its limits, however. Though its overall observations are
pretty consistent with ground-based findings, gravitational data gets
less accurate as the area examined gets smaller, typically below 150,000
square kilometers (58,000 square miles), or about the size of Illinois.
Most aquifers are far smaller than that.
Since GRACE only streams monthly data, scientists also have to
combine it with real-time measurements to extend their observations to
the present.
But the efforts to use satellite technology to study the world’s
water are gaining in following. When GRACE first launched in 2002,
Famiglietti and Rodell were the only two hydrologists to work on the
data. Today there are tens to hundreds of hydrologists using the
measurements, and NASA has extended the GRACE mission beyond the
originally planned five years. Meanwhile, a GRACE follow-up mission will
be launched in 2017.
The European Space Agency (ESA) has its own water observation programs. Its Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer mission
(GOCE) is tracing ocean circulation and sea levels, and ESA’s TIGER
initiative monitors water from space to facilitate water management in
Africa.
Written by Nadya Ivanova@circle of blue
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