Our national intelligence experts report that several states are already
high and dry. Thanks to the GOP, they're also in complete denial about
it.
On World Water Day the U.S. report by the office of the Director of National Intelligence marks the day by predicting wars over water.
With the world expected to add another two billion people by 2030, the
report says that global water demand is likely to outstrip current
sustainable supplies by 40 percent by then. Climate change will, of
course, have an accelerating impact throughout the century.
The
report also claims that the U.S. will have a new avenue for global
leadership in helping to mitigate the problem worldwide, as it has
expertise in water management in both the public and private sectors. If
that's so, the D.N.I. has to explain why American towns are running out of water as global warming bites, sending the entire SouthWest into years of drought.
To conserve what little water is left, the state of Texas restricted water use in 1,000 cities and towns last year. Of those, 17 are considered critical -- in danger of running out of water in six months or less.Topping that list is the town of Spicewood Beach, a community of 500 homes on the shores of Lake Travis near Austin. Spicewood relies on wells fed by water from both the lake and the aquifer below the town. Too much water use and too little rainfall last year caused the water table to sink to historic lows. This January, Spicewood Beach became the first Texas town to run out of water.Now, a 7,000-gallon water truck arrives in Spicewood Beach each day to supply the homes.
Texas
is already planning to take out more water from its rivers and aquifers
than is actually there to take out in the first place - and with the
population expected to boom by 80% by 2060, there's no attempt at all to
take account of climate change which means there'll be even less water
to go around by then. according to Texas Tech climate scientist
Katharine Hayhoe:
Across Texas, towns experienced record low rainfall but also record high temperatures last year. Some towns, including Robert Lee, experienced more than 100 days of 100-degree temperatures. Those conditions are likely to become increasingly normal for the region, Hayhoe said, and that could make already severe droughts even worse.“What climate change is doing is it’s increasing our temperatures, and higher temperatures mean faster evaporation,” she says, “So you need more water to provide the same amount of irrigation for crops if temperatures are higher. And that’s what we see happening here in Texas and in many places around the world.”
The
pattern is being repeated across the Southwest and through into
California. Too little is being done because too many are in a state of
denial. There's no way that the Southern states can sustain their
current water use beyond the middle of the century, let alone see the
kinds of population growth being predicted but, especially in the
Republican desert states, denialism means that an oncoming disaster is
being ignored.
Unless the
federal government takes action, calls climate change a matter of
national security and takes planning and implementing policies to cope
out of these denialists hands now, by 2050 we'll be left with a massive
dustbowl punctuated by thousands of ghost towns and a few huge cities
that suck up all the water. Beyond that, we might see forced migrations
of millions as even those cities run dry. An American civil water war in
the latter part of the century is not inconceivable.
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