An employee holds a handful of wheat grain at the Kaap Agri grain silo
in Malmesbury, near Cape Town, South Africa, on Friday, Feb. 11, 2011.
Corn advanced in South Africa, the continents largest producer of the
grain, as prices rose in the U.S., which competes for African export
markets. Photographer: Nadine
Hutton/Bloomberg
Greater yields will be the key as farmers, both
commercial and smallholders, struggle to keep up with global
consumption of crucial agricultural commodities such as maize, wheat and
soya beans.
These products serve as staple
foods in many countries around the world and various reports,
corroborated by experts in the sector, agree that yield growth is under
serious threat as the global population continues to grow under a
pressurised agricultural sector.
Other threats to global food
security are issues such as wasteful water use, inadequate
infrastructure and climate change. Also, expanding markets and a rise in
middle classes around the world and yield shortfalls have contributed
to the high food prices, which have dominated agricultural discourse
since last year.
At a Seed Information Day at Klein
Karoo’s experimental farm at Bapsfontein on the East Rand, Lomo van
Rensburg, the general manager of Klein Karoo, said food prices would
continue to dominate agriculture and consumer forums for the next seven
years.
World commodity prices are
expected to remain high until 2020, while 52 percent of the population
is expected to be part of the global middle class by 2030. In addition,
the global population is expected to exceed the 9 billion mark by 2050.
Also,
demands for nutritious plants for human consumption in developing
countries will double in the year 2050. In order to meet demand,
countries in sub-Saharan Africa will have to increase the production of
crops by 300 percent.
In countries such as the US,
various shifts in maize production have decelerated yield growth,
according to a report released by international agricultural financier
Rabobank’s food & agribusiness research and advisory department.
The report found that maize yields
were likely to grow at a significantly slower rate than historical and
trend line analysis would suggest.
These global issues will need to
be addressed in order to keep the powder keg from blowing. However, the
good news for local and international farmers in these scenarios is that
the main driver in agriculture in the future will be the growth of the
middle class.
Various tools and innovations can
be used to take advantage of these situations, and can benefit both the
smallholder and commercial farmer.
According to Van Rensburg, the
most efficient way to utilise this growth is through increased yields
and investment in technology, since agriculture is a technology-driven
sector that is constantly changing.
Last year, 33 million hectares of biotech products were planted around the world.
In South Africa, biotech crops
increased by 100 000ha during the same period. At a biotech press
conference in Pretoria last week, Klaus Ammann, a biotech scientist and
professor emeritus at the University of Bern in Switzerland, said
hectares had continued to increase for the 14th consecutive season to a
record high of 2.3 million hectares compared with 2.2 million in 2010.
“Biotech maize had occupied 1.873
million hectares or 72 percent of an estimated total of 2.6 million
hectares of maize commercially planted in South Africa,” he said.
Also, higher demand saw soya bean
plantings increase by 20 percent from 390 000ha in 2010 to an estimated
450 000ha, added Amman. “In one way or another, this grain has been
consumed annually by 40 million South Africans, 800 million broilers,
1.4 million feedlot cattle and 3 million pigs slaughtered at formal
abattoirs.”
Hunger alleviation efforts in
rural Africa were often hampered by poor information, lack of guidance
services, as well as a lack of affordable advice to small commercial
farmers.
According to Van Rensburg, this
prevented them from producing more food and hindered the use of more
technologically advanced seed lines with which they could reap more
benefits from their farming businesses.
“Counsellors
and farming advisers are very important role players in the production
cycle.
They are the people who advise farmers on the appropriate and
best tried and tested farming practices. This includes… essential
knowledge such as when to plant what and how to implement newly
researched techniques for the management of the seed and the soil,” he
said.
Van Rensburg believes that the
latest technology and access to good seed and other inputs, would remedy
the situation, coupled with best management practices for both large
and small commercial farmers.
Klein Karoo’s mentoring programme
teaches small commercial farmers to cultivate plants in greenhouses
(under shadow nets) by using the best available genetic plants for
markets that are subject to stressful conditions.
The programme includes initial
training and scheduled visits by specialists to supply the farmers with
information. This can serve as a key to unlock the potential of smaller
commercial farmers to fight hunger and to address the uncertainty of
food production.
By Ayanda Mdlu@iol.co.za
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